Hawaii Island may just dodge the bullet again. But it’s a very big bullet and the aim is questionable, so stay tuned.
The island is still unnder a tropical storm watch, but the Central Pacific Hurricane Center’s latest public advisory notes, “The Center of Ignacio is expected to pass 200 miles northeast of the Big Island on Tuesday night” It also noted that “hurricane force winds extend up to 30 miles [from the storm’s center]…and tropical storm force winds extend southward up to 140 miles.”
The arithmetic looks good, but there’s still a big probability factor involved, as indicate by the white cone in the map below. The actual path of the storm’s eye could be anywhere within that cone.
The storm has also weakened somewhat with maximum sustained winds of about 115 miles per hour.